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    Football> Community> Adijuntak888>

    Pacos de Ferreira VS Lusitania FC

    Liga Portugal 2
    Analysis More Tips
    Pacos de Ferreira
    Pacos de Ferreira 1
    4 Lusitania FC
    Lusitania FC
    Further Reading
    • Rinoandi
      Rinoandi
      Pacos Ferreira v Lusitania Lourosa 1. Goal expectation & 3+ line From the last 6: Pacos home: 11 scored / 7 conceded 3.0 total goals per game Lusitania away: 12 scored / 8 conceded 3.33 total goals per game Model (Poisson-style) gives roughly: λ Pacos 1.50 goals λ Lusitania 1.65 goals Expected total 3.13.2 goals 3+ goals (3 total): ~61% For the Asian Over 3.0 line: Win (4+ goals): 3839% Push (exactly 3): 22% Lose (02 goals): 39% So the fair main total line is 3.0 goals. Over 3.0 is basically 50/50 once you include the push; I would only like Over 3.0 if the price is clearly plus-EV (for example, noticeably above ~2.052.10). Pacos Ferreira v Lusitania Lourosa 1. Goal expectation & 3+ line From the last 6: Pacos home: 11 scored / 7 conceded 3.0 total goals per game Lusitania away: 12 scored / 8 conceded 3.33 total goals per game Model (Poisson-style) gives roughly: λ Pacos 1.50 goals λ Lusitania 1.65 goals Expected total 3.13.2 goals 3+ goals (3 total): ~61% For the Asian Over 3.0 li
      O/U
      POR D2 Pacos de Ferreira 1-4 Lusitania FC
      1
    More Tips
    • After registering wins in Europe, Bologna and Juventus will turn their attention to the Serie A this weekend, in a match hosted by Bologna. This battle for places in the top four finds Juventus sitting seventh with their hosts fifth. Read on to find our prediction for the match.
      O/U
      ITA D1 Bologna - Juventus
    • Ceuta LLWWLD Ceuta will play in this match following a 1-1 La Liga 2 drawn game against Granada. In that game, Ceuta had 42% possession and 9 shots at goal with 3 of them on target. The only player on the scoresheet for Ceuta was Cristian Rodríguez (40'). On the other side, Granada had 15 attempts at goal with 3 of them on target. Alemañ (19') was the scorer for Granada. It has not been often in recent times that Ceuta have managed to hold out for a full 90 minutes. In fact, Ceuta have been scored against in 5 of their previous 6 games, letting in 8 goals during that time. Coming into this meeting, Ceuta have not been beaten in their last 2 league matches at home. UD Las Palmas UD Las Palmas DWWWLD In their previous game, UD Las Palmas drew 0-0 in the La Liga 2 match with CD Mirandés. In that game, UD Las Palmas had 47% possession and 10 attempts at goal with 3 of them on target. Mirandes got 15 shots on goal with 4 on target. A series of effective performances by the UD L
      O/U
      SPA D2 AD Ceuta - Las Palmas
    • Arouca DLLLLL Arouca will be hoping for a better result following the 3-1 Primeira Liga defeat in their last game at the hands of Estrela Amadora. In that match, Arouca managed 37% possession and 9 attempts at goal with 2 on target. The only player to score for Arouca was Taichi Fukui (59'). Estrela Amadora had 24 shots on goal with 9 of them on target. Kikas (29'), Abraham Marcus (34') and Pinho (89') scored for Estrela Amadora. It has not been often in recent times where Arouca have kept a clean sheet. The reality is that Arouca have seen their defence breached in 6 of their previous 6 games, leaking 19 goals in the process. That kind of pattern wont necessarily be sustained here, though. Ahead of this clash, Arouca are without a win at home for the past 6 league games. Their supporters are understandably frustrated. Alverca Alverca WLLDWW Alverca will come into the game after a 1-0 Primeira Liga win against Nacional in their last match. In that match, Alverca had
      AH
      POR D1 FC Arouca - Alverca
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