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The key tactical battle will be Villarreal’s ability to break down Alavés’ compact defense. Quick ball movement, overlapping runs, and accurate crossing will be essential. If Villarreal score early, the match could open up, increasing the likelihood of covering the handicap. Conversely, if Alavés hold firm and force Villarreal into slow, predictable attacks, the game may remain close throughout.
In conclusion, the HDP analysis leans slightly in favor of Villarreal -0.5, based on home advantage and superior technical quality. However, Alavés +0.75 remains a strong alternative for those expecting a tight, low-scoring encounter. Overall, this fixture is likely to be decided by fine margins rather than overwhelming dominance.
Further Reading
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Teemario Won 8/10On January 10, 2026, Villarreal will play Deportivo Alavés in La Liga at Estadio de la Cerámica. Villarreal is ranked fourth in the rankings with 38 points, while Deportivo Alavés is ranked fourteenth with 19 points. Villarreal has won seven of its nine La Liga games at home this season, demonstrating their dominance. Conversely, Deportivo Alavés has had trouble traveling, losing 75% of their league away games.Villarreal has won 22 of their previous 25 La Liga home games.In all competitions, Villarreal has averaged 2.00 goals per game at home.The most recent record for Deportivo Alavés is five consecutive La Liga away defeats.Only four of Deportivo Alavés' previous 25 La Liga road games have been victories.When the two teams play, Villarreal will try to build on their home performance to win, while Deportivo Alavés will try to overcome the odds and win away from home. My Forecast: Villarreal will triumph 2-1.1x2
SPA D1
Villarreal
3-1 Alaves
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Chin PK4Villarreal vs Alaves analysis Heres a current tactical and statistical analysis for Villarreal vs Deportivo Alavés (La Liga, scheduled 10 Jan 2026) covering form, head-to-head trends, strengths/weaknesses, and likely game dynamics: Form & Recent Context Villarreal are comfortably ahead in the table and pushing for a Champions League spot. Theyve shown stronger recent form compared to Alavés, with more wins and a better goal-scoring record overall. Alavés have struggled this season with inconsistency and poor away form. They have only a handful of wins and often concede first. In their last head-to-head match this season, Villarreal won 3-0 at home, suggesting a psychological edge. Head-to-Head Trends Across recent history, the H2H record is quite balanced: Alavés with a slight edge overall (11 wins to Villarreals 10) but this includes older results. In La Liga since 2024, Villarreal have the better recent record and enjoy a stronger home performance. These clashes often yield moreO/USPA D1
Villarreal
3-1 Alaves
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Analysis VIP99 Won 10/10Todays La Liga clash between Villarreal and Alavés (Saturday, January 10, 2026) sees the "Yellow Submarine" looking to solidify their Top 4 position at the Estadio de la Cerámica. _________________________________________________________________AHSPA D1
Villarreal
3-1 Alaves
SPA D1
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